Even in an era where quarterbacks defend as hard as they can and wide receivers don’t breathe, scoring touchdowns through five weeks of the 2023 NFL season has been a challenge. This season, 15 teams, almost half the league, have scored 12 or fewer touchdowns on offense. 22 teams average fewer than three players per game. Leading the way are the New York Giants and New England Patriots, whose offenses have scored five and six touchdowns, respectively, this season and are a surefire cure for insomnia.
Combined with this weekend’s bad weather, this trend looks certain to continue into Week 6. The members of Bet the EDGE considered her two candidates on today’s episode.
First up is the Baltimore Ravens (-192) and Tennessee Titans (+160), who will face off on Sunday at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. DraftKings has four favorites for Lamar Jackson and the Ravens, with the total set at 40.5.
Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper) talked about early lines and totals.
“When this opened, it was a one-way action for the Titans. This (line) went to three. It was a juicy three-point score for the Ravens, and I think the Baltimore Ravens are taking this trip to London seriously. , the news that he was planning on leaving early to properly adjust his body clock made headlines. What do you think, Jay? Money is coming in for the Ravens, money is coming in for the Overs, and this time. I think both are on the right side.”
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Jay Croucher (@croucherJD) says the Ravens are a bit of a headache.
“It’s hard to process how to adjust from that Steelers game…I think the Ravens have an elite defense. They’re quietly getting the No. 2 defense per play by EPA right now. Very solid, 20th in offense. You’d think Lamar Jackson’s offense would be higher on the floor than 20th. But when a receiver drops seven passes, that’s where it ends.”
Although the pair ultimately sided with the Ravens, this game caused them to look elsewhere for a greater conspiracy.
“These are two teams that are a little lackluster right now, which is unusual with Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry.”
Elsewhere, the Cleveland Browns (+230) welcome the San Francisco 49ers (-285) to the Dog Pound. With Deshaun Watson not likely to play and potentially inclement weather in Cleveland on Sunday, the intrigue of this game revolves around the Cleveland defense versus Brock Purdy and the big players on the 49ers’ offense. What is the biggest cause of crime? San Francisco is almost a touchdown candidate (-6.5) and his total is 36.5.
“This game is totally ugly and I think there’s a realistic expectation that this is something like a first-round 20 win. The 37 1/2 number has a lot of that built into this total. But If you were to tell me to play this game right now, I’d be fine playing it below 37 1/2.”
This is becoming a game that is controlled by the defensive coordinator.
“I expect Schwartz (Browns DC Jim Schwartz) to be the kind of guy who takes at least half of Garrett’s snaps inside and drives toward Purdy’s pipe. Garrett is strong enough to win. He’s quick enough to get there before Purdy gets the ball out of his hands. I think that could very well be the big story that comes out of this game.”
If Garrett has a big day, expect his DPOY odds to plummet. More to come.
Enjoy the game and sweat, no matter how aggressive the attack.
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*All odds provided by DraftKings
